SmarterX Blog

America's AI Jobs Boom Is Outrunning the Layoffs So Far

Written by Mike Kaput | Sep 15, 2026, 2:00:00 PM

In Brief

The Economist estimates that AI has created roughly one million American jobs, far exceeding layoffs attributed to the technology so far. 

The gains are encouraging, but slow adoption inside companies leaves a much larger question about the future of office work unanswered.

What Happened

The AI hiring boom is showing up in construction crews and new technical roles. In a new report, The Economist estimates about one million American jobs created, compared with roughly 200,000 AI-attributed layoffs since mid-2023. Its analysis also identifies 320,000 additional jobs across five data-center-related industries since 2023, above broader industry trends. These are estimates, not an official count of AI's net employment impact.

The broader labor market remains resilient. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 162,000 additional nonfarm payroll jobs in August and unemployment of 4.1%. Gains included restaurants and local government education, while the information industry lost jobs. That report does not assign those changes to AI.

Research from Ramp and Revelio Labs, covering more than 21,000 U.S. companies, adds another positive signal: the heaviest AI adopters had employment roughly 10% above comparable companies that had not yet adopted it over the first two years. The researchers caution that adopters were already different, faster-growing businesses. The finding doesn't mean buying AI automatically creates jobs.

SmarterX founder and CEO Paul Roetzer examined what these gains tell us about work, and what they leave unresolved, on Episode 239 of The Artificial Intelligence Show.

The Key Numbers

One million - American jobs created by AI so far, per The Economist's estimate

200,000 - AI-attributed layoffs since mid-2023, per The Economist's estimate

320,000 - Additional jobs above broader trends in five data-center-related industries since 2023

162,000 - U.S. nonfarm payroll jobs added in August

About 10% - Employment advantage for heavy AI adopters relative to comparable not-yet-adopters

Why Slow AI Adoption Delays the Workforce Test

The construction jobs are real. Data centers need electricians, cooling specialists, and workers who connect facilities to the power grid. Roetzer welcomes that demand: "I love to see the positive numbers," he says. He also points to a political tension: Leaders celebrating new jobs may simultaneously face pressure to oppose the data centers creating them.

Companies still have to change how they work. Buying access to an AI assistant is an early step. Roetzer argues that weak implementation plans, limited training, and resistance to change are delaying AI's effect on employment. In his view, "enterprise adoption of AI is still so early."

That delay has consequences for the timing of potential displacement. He argues that "the inability for enterprises to change quickly may actually be the friction that saves the economy" by slowing the spread of productivity gains that could reduce staffing needs.

"And people shouldn't make assumptions about the safety of knowledge work jobs, of the white collar jobs, just because the data right now is positive."

— Paul Roetzer, founder and CEO of SmarterX on Episode 239 of The Artificial Intelligence Show

SmarterX Take

A new construction job doesn't automatically provide a path for a displaced designer or administrator. Different skills, training, and interests make that transition complicated. Leaders need to understand which people benefit from AI spending and which people face changes to the work they have spent years learning.

The useful starting point is the work itself. Break roles into tasks, identify where AI can help, and train people to use it well. An organization can welcome the current hiring gains while preparing employees for potential changes not yet reflected in those national job numbers.

What to Watch

Company-wide adoption will test today's employment picture. The next phase depends on how quickly businesses move from providing software licenses to changing everyday work. Roetzer sees substantial room for improvement using technology companies can already access.

The construction boom depends on continued investment. As AI leaders debate slowing development and communities challenge data centers, the employment effects of any pullback deserve attention alongside the risks of faster automation.

What Professionals Expect AI to Do to Jobs

Seventy-one percent of respondents to the 2026 State of AI for Business Report believe AI will eliminate more jobs than it creates over the next three years. Those expectations give leaders useful context: employees can see encouraging hiring headlines and still expect significant disruption ahead. Communicating an adoption plan means taking those concerns seriously.

Based on responses from more than 2,100 professionals across roles, functions, and industries, the report examines workforce expectations alongside adoption, training, and organizational readiness. It provides a benchmark for the conversations companies need to have while they prepare their people for AI. Read the full report →